MLB Baseball - Predictions and Odds
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers
The Cleveland Guardians are 58-61 this season after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 8-2, 3-6, and 3-5. In game three, Cleveland led 2-0 in the first inning, but didn’t score again until the ninth inning in the loss. The Guardians recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Cantillo allowed three hits and one earned run over 1.0 inning, while Yoho picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Cleveland lost all three against the Mets and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 473 runs with a .232 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 12 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 12 home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 4-11 with a 3.85 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 138.0 innings pitched this season.
The Detroit Tigers are 58-60 this year after they won two out of three against the Giants by scores of 2-5, 8-0, and 3-1. In game three, Detroit blew a 1-0 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored two runs in the 10th for the win. The Tigers recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-1 with one RBI. Melton allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Jansen got the win and Holton picked up the save. Prior to that series, Detroit won two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Athletics.
This season, Detroit has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 539 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 26 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Drew Anderson, who is 4-4 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this year.
The Tigers have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents following a win. The Guardians have lost five of their last six games andfailed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games at Comerica Park following a loss.
The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents.While the Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents. The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs - Seven of the Tigers’ last eight home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line. Five of the Guardians’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line. There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents. There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the last 10 night games between the Guardians and Tigers.
Detroit comes into this matchup as the hottest team in the AL Central and they have moved up to second in the division. The Tigers are 30-27 at home this year, while the Guardians are 30-30 on the road. Cleveland has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in all four of those losses. The Guardians are starting Bibee, who has allowed 3, 2, 3, 2, and 1 earned run in his last five starts, while Anderson is being stretched from a reliever to a starter and won’t throw more than four innings. Take the Guardians here, as Bibee is the much better starter.